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Verification of Cloud Precipitation Model Forecast Products During a Hailstorm Process in Tibet Plateau
LIU Junqing, Yangjinzhuoma, LIAO Xiaokun, SHI Yueqin, YANG Gang, QIANG Dehou, LIU Duanyang
Journal of Arid Meteorology    2019, 37 (3): 477-.  
Abstract348)      PDF(pc) (2353KB)(1574)       Save
Based on FY-2G satellite retrieve products, the normal upper level and surface data from MICAPS, houly precipitation and L-band sounding data, a hailstorm in Lhasa of Tibet Plateau from 19:00 BST to 20:00 BST on 22 June 2016 was examined. The results are as follows: (1) The cloud precipitation model could predict the precipitation area of Tibet, but there were some deviations for heavy precipitation center and rainfall intensity. (2) The evolution of clouds could be predicted truly by this model, the simulations of clouds’ moving direction and velocity were basically consistent with the satellite monitoring. (3) The model could forecast the macroscopic characteristics of convective cloud in the plateau well, although the vertical development of the convective clouds was weaker than that of the retrieval based on FY-2G satellite data. The deviation of the cloud top height was about 1.0-2.0 km and that of the cloud top temperature was about 10-20 ℃. (4) The prediction of the cloud vertical characteristics was in good agreement with monitoring results by FY-2G satellite and the upper-air sounding. The property of the cloud vertical structure and the height of characteristic temperature layer were close to the observations.
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